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Time is now against Silvio Berlusconi. He must prove to the faster it puts its promises into action.

The head of the Italian Government is committed to the adoption by Parliament before Nov. 15 its plan to revive growth, the first stage at least. The measures were approved Wednesday by the Cabinet. Among the main liberalization of regulated professions and local public services, commitment to gradually raise the retirement age to 67, administrative simplification, auction of 15 billion euros in property assets of the state in three years.

This plan is in addition to 54 billion budget savings passed in September to restore public finances to balance by 2013, when the deficit reached 3.9% this year.

The first event will be played next week in the Senate.

Real estate developers – Kaufman & Broad and Celeos Breton – had already tried it. This time, the third network of estate agencies in the Hexagon who try. Guy Hiccups launched an operation on November 1, private sales and offers to acquire a selection of existing homes in 1800 throughout France, with discounts up to 20%, according to Frederic Monsu, general manager of the network fast cash now. The goods concerned have been selected by franchisees and validated by headquarters. These apartments and houses for sale in recent months but have not yet been sold, or property newly entered in the agencies, but whose owners are eager to sell.

In the first five days of strike by cabin crew of Air France, the company is organized to provide as announced 80% of its flights. The company has temporarily restricted on Saturday morning to 100 passengers the ability of its medium-haul flights Orly. Consequence: passengers can wait a little and minor delays can be saved.

This management method was chosen to avoid having to put down passengers for lack of a sufficient number of hostesses and stewards. "It blocks the flights a minimum. Is completed according to the presentation of the crews as and when. But we have managed so far to complete the flight and make them go as planned, "says the director of Air France at Orly, George Daher. A strategy that annoys some customers. "We were placed on a waiting list by explaining that there was not enough staff.A rip-off in communication because all flights are available at this time, "said one man who was to fly to Toulouse.

About the airport Roissy-Charles de Gaulle, the traffic was in line with forecasts of Air France, which does not exclude any last minute cancellations. It struck ten long-haul flights planned Saturday morning, including flights to New York, Montreal, Los Angeles, Tokyo, Abu Dhabi, Douala. But passengers were warned on Friday. Maisselon Europe 1, delays begin to accumulate.

Disrupted traffic until Wednesday

Without an agreement this week with management on working conditions for cabin crew, six of seven unions called the stewards and stewardesses 15,000 to go on strike for the weekend of All Saints, usually very busy. Traffic should be disturbed until Wednesday, November 2 included.The company also points out that the tickets can be changed or exchanged free of charge.

The negotiations broke down this week on two issues relating to working conditions for cabin crew. The number of stewards or stewardesses present on each flight, that management would reduce, and the method of evaluation of these same individuals. Air France would they be judged by their purser, rather than by instructors as it is now. For the UNSA and SNPNC-FO, both reforms increase the workload of staff, and thus put at risk the safety of passengers.

The Minister of Transport, Thierry Mariani, has however said "shocked" by the strike call, which he considered "suicidal".

The hope prevailed on Monday in the Paris Bourse. After the meeting of eurozone leaders in Brussels on the CAC 40 closed up 1.55% to 3220.46 points in a modest trading volume of just over 2.5 billion euros. In its wake, London ends up 1.08% and 1.41% in Frankfurt. In New York, the indices were also well directed, the Dow gaining 0.82% and the Nasdaq more than 2% mid-term.

Regarding the debt crisis, the hope seems to come on the market. EU leaders agreed to increase the firepower of the European bailout fund (EFSF), to recapitalize banks and erase part of the Greek debt. On this point, the euro area is "relatively close" to an agreement with private creditors. European states are now seeking 50 to 60% of discount.The details of this comprehensive agreement should be announced Wednesday, after a summit. French President Nicolas Sarkozy said that the situation remains "very complex" but that "negotiations are progressing. A consensus is emerging, "he said.

First question, Greek banks have reacted badly to the news. Some securities industry lost more than 20% of their value on the Athens Stock Exchange. It has also closed down 4.51%.

Caution

In Paris, investors have decided to extend the rally started vendredi.Cet optimism was tempered, however, by indicators in the euro area and France who fear a recession. The publication of the PMI in October in the euro area showed an increased risk of recession. Contraction accelerated to $ 47.2, against 49.1 in September.These indicators are reminders of the fragility of the European economy and the urgent need to halt the crisis.

Highly vulnerable to swings in investor sentiment, banking stocks have evolved sawtooth. Societe Generale has finally closed up 4.11% to 19.75 euros, Credit Agricole gained 2.77% to 4.97 euros and BNP Paribas climbed 0.69% to 32 euros.

Renault, which goes like rival PSA Peugeot Citroen, use measures of short to deal with a slowdown in demand, has closed up 2.83% to 28.30 euros. Air France-KLM has won his side 2.20% to 5.75 euros, while the new management group has given priority to "react to the emergence of new competitors, especially low-cost airlines," said the boss of the group, Jean-Cyril Spinetta.Icade, despite the publication of a revenue increase of 11% in the first nine months of 2011, ended down 1.08% to 64.30 euros.

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"CRISIS SPECIAL: fear of debt

French bond yields increasingly deviates from the reference German. And if the price that France has to pay its creditors rises relative to that payable by the neighbor across the Rhine, is that the repayment capacity is considered less French.

This distrust on observed past few days has increased further this Tuesday morning, after a warning from the rating agency Moody's. The French rate to ten years and have removed more than 1% (100 basis points) German rates, which are the reference unwavering in terms of sovereign bonds in Europe.

A disturbing record since the introduction of the single currency. On the London market, the French rate to ten years in the early morning reached 3.04%, while its German equivalent, the "Bund", down 9 basis points (-0.09%) to 2%.

At the same time, insurance (CDS) against a default on the obligations of the French state have seen their costs rise significantly. CDS to five years in France and were up 10 basis points shortly after 9:40, to 194 basis points according to Markit data. In other words, it costs 194,000 euros to insure against exposure to 10 million euros of bonds.

The gap could widen further

"We must relativize the gap (called the" spread ") bond rates between France and Germany: the level of French is extremely low rates, grade Cyril Regnat, strategist at Natixis. The ten-year French course is slightly above 3%, but the last five years, it stood at an average of 3.75%.In these circumstances, the spread can still dig a little. "The analyst believes, however, that the cost of debt already includes a breakdown of the French note one notch to AA +.

On this point, however, opinions differ. "The decline of the note is not yet in the curves: the rate could still rise from 30 to 50 basis points, that is to say 0.3 to 0.5% in the worst case, and reach a rate differential with Germany of 150 basis points, or 1 guaranteed cash advance.5%, "calculates Norbert Gaillard *, consultant to the World Bank and specialist rating agencies.

Why the interest rate differential between France and Germany increases

The rising cost of the French debt occurs observed Tuesday morning despite the fact that Moody's has taken more precautions than ever to launch his warning."She chose a time when the stress in the markets was relatively peaceful and has added a step ahead of the traditional reporting system in three stages," Norbert Gaillard analysis. Usually, the agency established the first note of the country "negative outlook" and then put the note "under review" before degrading it if necessary.

"It is very likely that the next move by Moody's, provided in three months, or to place a negative outlook on the rating of France," said Norbert Gaillard."How the country can indeed solve the three problems it faces: slow growth, deficit reduction and the difficulties of Greece and its banking system?"

In this context, "the Moody's decision means that the French can not help itself with its banks without risking his note: it has more room for maneuver necessary," Judge Cyril Regnat. "If the banks recapitalize without the state, then the fears will be evacuated on the AAA market and we should see an easing of interest rates." Investors have already understood: after the warning from Moody's, French banks have dropped the stock market.

* Author of "A Century of Sovereign Ratings", ed.Springer (USA), 2012

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Alain Belais: "To have an idea as good as it is, is not enough."

Is it more important to choose the first legal and tax status of its business or build a business plan? Candidates for the creation of enterprises facing multiple issues. Alain Belais, Executive Director of the Agency for start-ups (PACE), recommends that they follow a very rational.

1. The person who starts for the first time in the adventure of creation must first go to the website of the Agency for start-ups. She will find all the essential tips and steps to follow. She can tap into the toolbox that is available to him, then he will look to support networks.

2.If it is much easier to start a business in France, the new contractor must make a lot of work ahead of the creation of his company to put the odds on his side. Have an idea as good as it is, is not enough. Make sure that the company is a specific market, it has customers. It is essential to consider the viability of the project in detail. Plus the contractor spends thinking about his project, the more it gives the chance to see his company grow in harmony.

3. Do not focus on minor issues. The legal and tax status of the company is not the first topic to address. There is always a formula tailored to their needs when we understand its goals and needs.

4. The initial investment can be small or large.What matters is that the funds are available in relation to the needs of the project.

5. It should not be stubborn. We must not go too fast. Take the time to evaluate, test. If an idea does not find its market, you have to stop the project and give up. This advice may seem paradoxical because an entrepreneur is a man who can shake up the barriers and must be certain. But it must also be able to understand when it's wrong. However, a board shall not conceal another, perseverance, tenacity are the powerful engines of the contractor. Do not get discouraged and overcome obstacles one by one.

6. The new contractor must not remain alone in his corner. It should not be isolated. It must be accompanied. It is sometimes necessary to protect his idea, but he must also learn to trust, to reflect with others.Whether friends or professionals. Many networks are able to advise him, to help solve a problem, to build a case for funding or to face a difficult period. Qualify for free business advice, financial, legal, tax experienced entrepreneurs is an asset. There is indeed a surprising solidarity among entrepreneurs. Many of them are happy to know-how available to those who need it. The advice and support networks for sales professionals and law are very effective to support the project leaders.

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Traffic in the transport is disrupted Tuesday, following the call for mobilization of CGT-CFDT, UNSA, FSU-Solidarity, who report an austerity program "inadmissible" the government and require "a different distribution of wealth. "

With the exception of SUD-RATP, who filed a notice of indefinite strike on July 31, no organization has called to stop work in transport.However federations CGT filed a notice with the RATP and SNCF, as well as SUD-Rail, to enable staff who wish to go forward.

Here are the latest traffic forecasts:

• At the SNCF

Tuesday, more than 4 of 5 TGV move on departure or arrival in Paris, except for the Atlantic TGV trains close to 3 to 5, and more than 2 runs a train on the TGV on average province-province.

For Transilien, traffic during rush hour is on average close to 2 trains of 3, and the TER, the traffic is close to 2 of 3 services at the national level. Locally, the traffic is 4 trains of 10 to a near-normal movement between regions.

For Intercités day (including Teoz), traffic is on average a train 2.

No Lunea (national traffic at night) will flow, however the nights of Tuesday to Wednesday.On international routes to night, no disturbance is expected to Germany and Italy. Traffic will also be normal day on the Eurostar (England) and Thalys (Belgium, Germany) and near normal on Lyria (Switzerland).

The other lines of Paris and Paris-Nord-Est have a service close to two out of three trains, and those of Paris-Saint Lazare, Paris-Montparnasse and Paris-Lyon train in two.

• In the RER RATP zone

Traffic is normal on the line A and the interconnection is maintained at Nanterre Prefecture. A train runs on two rush hour on the line B, and a train of four off-peak payday advance lender. Interconnection is suspended from Gare du Nord, but maintained at Nanterre Prefecture.

For portions of RER managed by SNCF, the traffic is normal on the line A (from Nanterre Prefecture in Cergy and Poissy) and Line E.There is a train of two outstanding on lines B and C of the RER, without interconnection to Paris Nord. On line D, it takes two to three trains with an average interconnection between Paris-Lyon and Paris Nord.

• In the metro and bus in Paris

In the metro, the traffic is normal on all lines except line 5, where it takes with two trains of 3.

Traffic is normal on lines 2 and 3 of the tramway. For T1, a train of 2 is outstanding.

• In the province

Strike notices were filed in 39 urban transit systems, including Lille, Marseille, Lyon, Bordeaux, Toulouse and Strasbourg.Such notice having been filed in most cases by a single union, the traffic should be only slightly affected.

The notice concerning the networks of the following cities: Amiens, Angers, Angouleme, Belfort, Besançon, Bordeaux, Bourges, Caen, Cannes, Chambery, Dijon, Douai, Lille, Limoges, Lorient (strike 55 minutes), Lyon, Le Mans, Marseille (strike 3:30), Maubeuge, Metz, Montluçon, Montpellier, Moulins Mulhouse, Nantes, Nice (strike from 9 to 12), Nîmes (strike 9:30 to 10:30), Pau, Poitiers, Reims, Rennes, La Rochelle, Rouen, Royan, Saint-Nazaire (strike from 10:30 to 14h), Strasbourg, Toulouse, Tours, Vichy.

• To monitor traffic

Hotlines are available to travelers by SNCF: 0805.90.36.35 for the Outline, TER, Téoz and Intercity, and 0805.70.08.05 for Transilien.

For traffic forecasts, two websites are available: www.sncf.com and www.infolignes.com for all traffic forecasts.

For the RATP, the number is 0800.15.11.11.

The hatchet between opponents of the exploitation of shale gas and industry is far from buried. Following the withdrawal of operating licenses for three shale announced yesterday by the Government, José Bové, leader of the anti-shale has expressed its "satisfaction". Overall, however, said he was "very surprised by this decision." The group has indeed been canceled the license of Montelimar in the Drome and is seeking clarification from the government "to understand what legal grounds" takes place this cancellation. Two other permits, assigned to the U.S. Schuepbach, were also removed, one in the Ardèche and the other in the Larzac.

And if the state backed down on these permits is due to law of 13 July.After a major mobilization led by José Bové and the Greens, elected officials voted this summer a law banning the use of controversial mining technique called hydraulic fracturing. The government had thus given two months to holders of operating licenses for shale gas to specify what operating techniques they planned to use.

In both reports, Schuepbach had clearly stated its intention to use hydraulic fracturing, however, prohibited, said Minister of Ecology. In the report of Total, "it was not the case but I made the point that the report was not credible," said Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet. According to the minister, "Total announces to continue to search for shale gas with techniques that are not hydraulic fracturing, or we now know that these techniques are not operational no fax cash loans."

Decision on 13 octobreTotal not digest these ads. "We are very surprised to learn through the press that the government has decided to revoke the exploration permit without Montelimar Total whom the license was awarded in itself has been informed." The State must publish the full effect of those decisions and those on other 61 operating permit on October 13 in the Official Gazette. Thus remains to be seen what will be the decision of the State concerning the 61 other permits still in progress for which the industry had mentioned the use of a hydraulic fracturing technique. If the majority of these licenses relate to the operation of conventional hydrocarbons, twelve are for non-conventional hydrocarbons and potentially gas from coal or oil shale, especially in the Paris basin.

José Bové is awaiting the decision of the state.Already, the Green MEP which combined movement against the gas and oil shale warns that "continued engagement on the ground and before administrative tribunals" in case of maintenance allowed the industrial explicit mention of an appeal to the technique of hydraulic fracturing or operation of these products shale.

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• Individuals involved to the tune of 5.6 billion euros

– Removal of exemptions for allowances holding period on capital gains property, excluding exempt principal residence (2200000000)

– Increase of 12.3% to 13.5% payroll taxes on capital income (1.3 billion)

– Removal or reduction of exemptions from the CSG (800,000,000)

– Increase in tobacco prices by 6% (600,000,000)

– Increase the tax and social taxes on liquor (300,000,000)

– Introduction of an outstanding contribution of 3% on very high incomes, above 500,000 euros.Some 10,000 homes were affected (200,000,000)

– Creation of a tax on sugary drinks (100 million)

– Device Scellier: decrease of 22% to 14% rate of tax reduction for investors buying new low-energy housing for rental (about 100 million euros)

– Introduction of a progressive tax (from 10 to 40%) for owners of "good rooms" applying the rents to be too expensive (over 40 euros/m2), mainly in Paris (1 million)

– Decrease of 18% to 12% rate of tax reduction for purchases in retirement homes, tourist and student (nearly 10 million)

• The companies affected to the tune of 4.8 billion euros

– Reduction of deferred losses for a harmonization of corporate taxation with Germany.- Revision of scale of the tax on company cars (100 million)

– Creation of a 2% tax on hotel stays at or above 200 euros (90 million)

– Creation of an exceptional tax next year on sales of large industrial duty subject to quotas of CO2 (200 million)

– The draft budget provides for operators to bear the costs of a possible interference of DTT with the new 4G mobile radio frequencies that will be awarded in early 2012.

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After several days of hesitation, the main leaders of the euro area are put together in the front line Tuesday in an attempt to appease the debt crisis. The offensive is part of the first German chancellor, who tried to silence the cacophony in his ruling coalition. "The priority is to do everything to prevent a failure of control of Greece because it affects not only Greece but the risk that affects other countries would be very high," said Angela Merkel. A very strong focus towards members of his coalition, particularly the Vice-Chancellor in charge of Economy, Philipp Roesler, who had set fire to the powder Monday citing a lack of Athens.

True to his style, though Chancellor has not completely closed the door on this idea, stating that the priority was to avoid it."Everything must be done to keep the euro area united politically, because otherwise we could face a domino effect." Angela Merkel has also kept the pressure on Athens, welcoming the signal showing that "the Greek government has recognized the situation and does what he must do. " Finally, after a meeting with the Prime Minister of Finland Jyrki Katainen, it calmed the game on the ongoing negotiations between Greece and Finland, which requires collateral in exchange for his participation in the background of help. "I am optimistic that we find an agreement," she said.

Limit catches of speech

The statements made by German Chancellor multiple contrast with the silence of Nicolas Sarkozy. The French president received Tuesday the president of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy to a point on the situation, with nothing to filter their conversation.Side of the French government, it is estimated that in the context of extreme nervousness of the markets, which eventually rebounded Tuesday after closing fell sharply at the opening, limit the public speaking up, not to give the serious crisis that Europe wants to avoid. Do not think of a panic. Within the State, it still insists that "banks are strong," they are "fully capable" to absorb the losses to Greece and that "we are far from the situation in 2008, where the interbank market was closed. Today, there is no liquidity problem. "

On the side of the Ministry of Economy, we want even more reassuring: "rumors do not affect the real economy."Therefore, there is "no reason" to think about re-financing of the Society of the French economy (SFEF) or the Company of equity of the state (SPPE), created in the heart of the financial turmoil in 2008 to rescue banks.

As part of nationalizing banks, as the idea begins to circulate, "it is triple no!" Says Minister of Economy, Baroin, Le Figaro. The Government's priority is the speedy implementation of the plan July 21. "What must be avoided, an environment is anxiety sustainable. Because here, the banks would start to select their distribution of credits, "we nevertheless recognize Bercy. A topic that will be at the heart of the Eurogroup expected Friday in Poland. This meeting of European finance ministers promises crucial. Further indication of the challenge, the U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will participate exceptional.According to European sources, it should call on this occasion the Europeans not to procrastinate in managing the crisis and look closely at increasing the capacity of the SFEF to deal with bank recapitalization.

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