Warning shot in the markets in Europe
The long Easter weekend has not relaxed the markets, awarded three simultaneous bad news: a weaker recovery than expected in the U.S., that growth has stalled in China, and renewed tensions in the eurozone , with Spain in the crosshairs.
While Asia had started the day down 1%, European stock markets have accused the coup at the close: -3% in Paris, and Madrid, Milan -4.98%, -2.49% in Frankfurt , -2.24% in London. Europe has ended up contaminating Wall Street, down 1% in late afternoon.
Slowing demand in China
Although Spain appears to be the new abscess, fever markets could last as it is based on a disappointing international situation from Asia to America. Across the Atlantic, unemployment continues to fall, to 8.2% in March, but job creation, twice lower than expected, have cast a chill. Ben Bernanke's remarks, noting that the U.S. economy is "far from being fully recovered," did not help.
For its part, China sees its exports not only slow (8.9% yoy) but significantly curb its imports, to 5.3% instead of 9.3% expected. This is a sign that "domestic demand continues to slow," judge an economist at HSBC. Now this is supposed to be the new engine of growth of the country this year.
In Japan, the third world economy, the central bank left its key interest rate unchanged between 0.0% and 0.1%, while the Japanese government hopes that the establishment gives a boost to activity in the fight against a too strong yen, which penalizes companies of the Archipelago.
Pressure on interest rates
In Europe, the OECD observes that "signs of recovery," especially in Germany, but the markets are worried about the fragility of Italy, France and Spain (see below). In one week, the Paris Bourse lost 5%, 6% Madrid and Milan 8%.
Concern that immediately led to considerable tension in the bond market with rising interest rates to borrow ten years in most countries of the euro area. The lifts were for the most significant rates that Spanish and Italian, respectively 5.852% and 5.527%, were dangerously close to 6%. This proves that "the recent liquidity injections from the European Central Bank failed to calm markets," says Natixis. In the eyes of the broker Aurel BGC, they focus "on growth." And tensions will last as long as it will not be at the rendezvous.
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