The head of the Italian Government is committed to the adoption by Parliament before Nov. 15 its plan to revive growth, the first stage at least. The measures were approved Wednesday by the Cabinet. Among the main liberalization of regulated professions and local public services, commitment to gradually raise the retirement age to 67, administrative simplification, auction of 15 billion euros in property assets of the state in three years.

This plan is in addition to 54 billion budget savings passed in September to restore public finances to balance by 2013, when the deficit reached 3.9% this year.

The first event will be played next week in the Senate.

This distrust on observed past few days has increased further this Tuesday morning, after a warning from the rating agency Moody's. The French rate to ten years and have removed more than 1% (100 basis points) German rates, which are the reference unwavering in terms of sovereign bonds in Europe.

A disturbing record since the introduction of the single currency. On the London market, the French rate to ten years in the early morning reached 3.04%, while its German equivalent, the "Bund", down 9 basis points (-0.09%) to 2%.

At the same time, insurance (CDS) against a default on the obligations of the French state have seen their costs rise significantly. CDS to five years in France and were up 10 basis points shortly after 9:40, to 194 basis points according to Markit data. In other words, it costs 194,000 euros to insure against exposure to 10 million euros of bonds.

The gap could widen further

"We must relativize the gap (called the" spread ") bond rates between France and Germany: the level of French is extremely low rates, grade Cyril Regnat, strategist at Natixis. The ten-year French course is slightly above 3%, but the last five years, it stood at an average of 3.75%.In these circumstances, the spread can still dig a little. "The analyst believes, however, that the cost of debt already includes a breakdown of the French note one notch to AA +.

On this point, however, opinions differ. "The decline of the note is not yet in the curves: the rate could still rise from 30 to 50 basis points, that is to say 0.3 to 0.5% in the worst case, and reach a rate differential with Germany of 150 basis points, or 1 guaranteed cash advance.5%, "calculates Norbert Gaillard *, consultant to the World Bank and specialist rating agencies.

Why the interest rate differential between France and Germany increases

The rising cost of the French debt occurs observed Tuesday morning despite the fact that Moody's has taken more precautions than ever to launch his warning."She chose a time when the stress in the markets was relatively peaceful and has added a step ahead of the traditional reporting system in three stages," Norbert Gaillard analysis. Usually, the agency established the first note of the country "negative outlook" and then put the note "under review" before degrading it if necessary.

"It is very likely that the next move by Moody's, provided in three months, or to place a negative outlook on the rating of France," said Norbert Gaillard."How the country can indeed solve the three problems it faces: slow growth, deficit reduction and the difficulties of Greece and its banking system?"

In this context, "the Moody's decision means that the French can not help itself with its banks without risking his note: it has more room for maneuver necessary," Judge Cyril Regnat. "If the banks recapitalize without the state, then the fears will be evacuated on the AAA market and we should see an easing of interest rates." Investors have already understood: after the warning from Moody's, French banks have dropped the stock market.

* Author of "A Century of Sovereign Ratings", ed.Springer (USA), 2012

ALSO READ:

"Moody's casts a shadow on the AAA rating of France

"Baroin will do everything to keep the AAA

"The rating agencies accused of aggravating the crisis

Voter participation could offset the overall cost of the operation, however, revised upwards. The latest estimates by the Socialist Party reported a budget of 3.5 million euros, against 1.5 million originally planned.In an interview with Journal du Dimanche, the spokesman of the High Authority of the primary, the lawyer Jean-Pierre Mignard estimated that this cost is related primarily to "the need to recover a significant number of voters who were in the wrong format. "

Moreover, strengthening the means of control is more weighed on the invoice. In particular, the PS did not foresee the rental digital pens to prevent fraud. The cost would reach 300,000 euros guaranteed pay day loans. Similarly, the recruitment of many bailiffs should have a significant cost, recognized Jean-Pierre Mignard.

Elected officials and activists in support of the campaign budget

In addition, the campaign paid envelope to each candidate was revised upwards just before the campaign. Thus, each participant had € 50,000 instead of 30,000.A total re-evaluated to finance new travel and meetings and printing of new leaflets.

But the two favorites polls, Francois Hollande who collected 39% of the vote to Martine Aubry (31%) did not hesitate to seek their support, politicians and activists, to finance their campaigns. In the end, the campaign of François Hollande should cost 250,000 euros to 200,000 euros against Martine Aubry. The deputy director of the campaign Arnaud Montebourg, John Palacin, recently reported that the campaign Arnaud Montebourg cost nearly 100,000 euros, funded in part by the militants.

Only the winner of the primary campaigns will have their accounts credited to the budget allocated to the presidential campaign.

ALSO READ:

"Primary PS: nearly two and a half million voters

"The instructions of the Socialist primary

Real estate capital gains: exempt after thirty years

So far, the real estate gains from the sale of second home or rental investment have benefited from a system of allowances that could significantly reduce the tax liability. To calculate the taxable gain, a reduction of 10% per annum applied after five years in prison. What amounted to a total exemption after two years. As part of the austerity plan presented on 24 August, the government decided to remove any abatement, and the next day.The added value (for inflation) would have been taxed at 32.5%, regardless of the holding period. Unacceptable to many members of the majority, led by the rapporteur of the budget Gilles Carrez UMP.

The government preferred to find a compromise with them, which should logically be adopted by the Assembly on Tuesday. The abatements are restored, with a grid less generous than before: 2% between the sixth and fifteenth year of ownership, 3% between the sixteenth and twenty-fifth, 10% above the twenty-fifth. This will lead to a reduction of half in twenty-five years and total exemption after thirty years. The French may still take several months for rebates of 10%, the new system applies only to final deeds of sale signed on 1 February 2012.To finance this relaxation (180 million "lost" to the state in 2011, 195 million in 2012), it was decided, inter alia, to submit to French taxation, via a deed, the sale of shares of Civil Society Real Estate (SCI) performed from abroad but on French goods.

Companies: Consolidated Global Profit loss

Always return to fund rebates on real estate gains, MEPs adopted on Wednesday the proposed Bercy to end the regime of worldwide profits, which can deduct the losses of profits by foreign subsidiaries. Total Vivendi or benefit. Another source of funding: the extent of the share of capital gains on disposal of subsidiary (leading to an exemption from capital gains to 90% instead of 95%) is brought forward to 1 January 2011.Finally, as announced August 24 by François Fillon, one of the articles of the bill limits the back and carry forward a deficit. From 2011, the deferral on profits can only be done earlier than one year (instead of three). The postponement of the deficit on the profits of subsequent years will be capped (at 60% of income in excess of 1 million euros).

Luxury hotels: four euros per night

The government had to give up the VAT on theme parks. To compensate for the shortfall of 90 million per year, Bercy and the members voted to create a 2% tax affecting luxury hotels including nights at a price greater than or equal to 200 euros.

The head of the Republic Standing employees do not like standing. Or rather is left standing vendors unnecessarily. After a half-hour interview, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan leaves the impression of having really thought about what a recruit.

The one he recalls with Philippe Séguin to those he leads today with the employees it recruits in town hall or in its movement, NDA puts forward some principles. Recruiters, he advises not to destabilize. Candidates, he said, especially not artificially try to stick to the post, do not rewrite their CVs to look at all costs to what is required paydayloans.The bluff always ends up seeing.

And, for the presidential, he idea for the interviews turn into really good jobs for the economy? A "simple idea proposed 100 times": when a company makes a profit it reinvests in France, reducing the corporate tax of 50%. " Political side, which he recruit? Which woman or politician would it work? Arnaud Montebourg. Why not, the ideas are close, as the generation, the former lawyer and professional employee. The team could work. Be careful with egos in the bullpen …

Elsewhere in Europe, the Milan Stock Exchange closed on a fall of 3.89%. In Frankfurt, the Dax lost 3.36% at the final bell and the FTSE in London fell by 2.34%.The European indexes have been sealed by banking stocks, which still suffer from concerns over European debt, including the stalled talks in Greece.

Thus, investors have been cooled by zero job creation in August in the United States. In July, the first estimate of recruitment was greatly scaled down from 117,000 jobs created to 85,000. The unemployment rate remained steady at 9.1%, as expected. "The labor market is expected to remain sluggish in the medium term and the unemployment rate should rise slightly or remain at its current high level" of 9.1%, says Inna Mufteeva at Natixis.This publication reinforces the eyes of experts, the probability of a new monetary response from the U.S. Federal Reserve at its next meeting on September 20 and 21.

In addition to the waits before publication of the report, traders were disappointed by yesterday's U.S. indexes mixed. The weekly jobless claims have fallen and certainly the contraction was avoided in the manufacturing sector, but construction costs and productivity plummeted. In addition, the White House confirmed the pessimism about the weakness of the recovery across the Atlantic in scaling back its growth forecasts.

Euro stable

On the foreign exchange market, around 17:30, the euro 1.4207 dollars, against 1.4260 on Thursday, its lowest level in three weeks.Yesterday, the euro had fallen sharply under the impact of renewed concerns vis-à-vis the health of the euro area, where industrial activity contracted in August, unlike the United States.

In France, higher energy costs caused a 0.5% increase in producer prices in July in the euro area, as expected, but overall inflationary pressures subside to the extent that the area economy patina.

The bank collapse

Fear seizes even Greek European banks. The establishment of a second aid plan seems to be complicated. The troika of creditors of Greece left Athens Friday, giving the government 10 days to advance structural reforms in the country, weighed down by a recession that will prevent it from holding its budget savings target.In Paris, Crédit Agricole fell 7.38% to 6.65% Societe Generale, BNP Paribas and Axa of 6.24% to 5.73%.

Arcelor-Mittal: -6.10% to 14.17 euros

The group plans to resort to short in the fourth quarter at its plant in Florange (Moselle), and will ask 600 of the 3,000 employees of the plant to take RTT in September, officials said Thursday a union source

Total: -2.69% to 33.40 euros

The oil will extend all over France its network of service stations at low prices, after tests conducted last year in dozens of outlets, according to Les Echos.

France Telecom: -2.37% to 13.17 euros

The operator has received numerous expressions of interest for its Swiss division, told Reuters CEO Stéphane Richard, noting that financial market volatility would not affect projects sales of assets of the group.

Bouygues: -2.14% to 25.61 euros

The Standard & Poor's announced that it placed the long-term rating of A-group under review with negative implications following the announcement by him of a proposed acquisition of securities.

Sanofi: -3.25% to 49.75 euros

The group confirmed Thursday it has reached an agreement with Pfizer to produce in France generic versions of Lipitor, the cholesterol featuring the American group.

EDF: -3.23% to 20.95 euros

Goldman Sachs has revised down its price target on the title, which goes from 49 to 31 euros, while remaining on the purchase value.

Carrefour: -2.83% to 17.66 euros

HSBC lowered its recommendation to "overweight" to "neutral" and target price of 30.50 to 20 euros.

Stallergenes: – 0.81% to 49 euros

The laboratory of immuno-allergic Thursday announced a net profit up 18% in the first half to 23.7 million euros, benefiting from the "business growth" and a "moderate increase spending research and development. " In the process, Oddo is to reduce its recommendation to neutral.

Safran – 2.77% to 27.05 euros, Suez Environnement: -4.23% to 11.09 euros

Saffron is the best candidate for an entry in the CAC 40, while Suez Environnement, whose price has fallen heavily since the beginning of the summer, should come out, say professionals in the Paris Bourse.

Nyse Euronext – 1.93% to 18.56 euros

The London Stock Exchange has confirmed a press report that it is discussing a possible settlement with LCH.Clearnet.Discussions are at a preliminary stage and there is no guarantee that it would, he said.

Neopost: + 10.39% to 56.30 euros

The group raised its forecast of annual sales for the second time, following an accelerated growth in the second quarter, thanks to the dynamics of North America.

Three stars, "samsung" in Korean, were on the first devices from the brand that were sold in Europe in the 1970s. It was the microwave low-end a few dozen francs apiece. This product of Appeal allowed the group to make a name and win in other markets, becoming the world leader in electronics and 19th marks in all categories.

The chaebol (Korean conglomerate), height of 6.2 billion euros in cash, has the means of its ambitions. And they are clear: to be number one everywhere. This is done on the TV market. To achieve the first place, the group has invested hundreds of millions of dollars in advertising around the world. He did not hesitate to cut prices, which allowed him inexorably to nibble market share.He fears, however, LG, another Korean, which, by betting on a technology other than his own in the 3D threatens his leadership.

In the area of ​​mobile, Samsung is the group that made the most progress over the last 12 months, according to IDC. In the last quarter, the Korean group has moved closer to Nokia and is expected soon to become the world's leading brand for mobile phones. While in smartphones and tablet, Apple seems unbeatable.

The finest PC market

There is also high ambitions in the PC. For now, the chaebol has only 3% of the world, behind industry giants, HP, Acer and Dell guaranteed payday loans. But this hides another reality: in 2010, Samsung sold 10 million computers. That's twice in 2009.Korean plans to increase its presence in this field by making efforts in all areas, including the design, which has long been its main weakness. Earlier this year, Samsung introduced the PC's finest on the market.

In keeping with the policy of expansion that has been in place since the early 1990s, the company also addresses the appliance market, where he is currently a relatively marginal player. Now, the time of cheap microwave is over. Place in washing machine and refrigerator art.Samsung is heavily loaded with LED lighting, his mastery of electronics, a way to give a serious and consumers to benefit from the reputation it enjoys in televisions and other devices, though far removed .

The group is also one of the largest manufacturers of memory cards for computer, LCD screen TVs … and provides many of its competitors, including Philips, Toshiba or Apple. This sometimes leads to complicated situations: the American and Korean competitors in smartphones and tablets, are engaged in trials crossed. They accuse each other of patent infringement, a real shadow on the balance sheet of the Asian giant.

ALSO READ:

"Samsung is affirmed in the first rival to the iPhone

For despite the vote tonight, Greece remains in a serious situation. The country needs to pass before June 30, the austerity plan that provides savings of 28.4 billion and 50 billion privatization until 2015.Persistent concerns explaining the lack of investor optimism since the beginning of June.

At the macroeconomic level, the announcement of an increase in the INSEE industrial morale in June, was not enough to give a positive trend. Industrial orders in the euro area rebounded 0.7% in April from the previous month, said Wednesday the EU statistics office Eurostat.en March, they had recorded their first decline in six months, 1.5 %. Eurostat has slightly revised its initial estimate, which gave an even stronger decline of 1.8%. On the macroeconomic front, investors should exercise great caution before the press conference of the U.S. central bank in the evening.The economic outlook in the United States could be scaled down and the Fed is expected to confirm the end of the support measures.

As for currencies, the vote of confidence of the Greek Parliament supports a slight decline in the European currency. The euro fell slightly against the dollar on Wednesday, suffering from profit taking after the sharp rise the previous day. Around 11:00 in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4401 dollars against 1.4408 late Tuesday.

In terms of oil, the news does not really have an impact on price developments, mixed Wednesday. Relieved by the vote of confidence, the market is wait until the end of the meeting of the American Fed. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for August delivery lost 46 cents to 93.71 dollars.That of Brent North Sea crude for August delivery gained 31 cents to 111.26 dollars.

Carrefour degraded

Carrefour (-1.52%, 26.89 euros) Moody's said Tuesday it had downgraded the outlook from stable to negative. Yesterday, at a general meeting stormy, the splitting of Dia was approved while the shareholders voted in favor of renewing the businessman Bernard Arnault on the board.The current Group Chief Executive, Lars Olofsson, will take over the chairmanship of the board of directors in place of Amaury de Seze.

EADS (+0.11% at 21.78 euros): Louis Welsh, CEO of EADS, the parent company of Airbus, said Wednesday that the European aircraft manufacturer plans to save the day at the Paris Air Show orders for its A380, the largest airliner in service in the world.

Total (-0.76% to 38.58 euros) assigned to a consortium of most of its petroleum distribution assets in the UK, the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man, for about 450 million.

Societe Generale (-0.87% to 39.82 euros). Shareholders representing 68% of the shares of the group opted for the 2010 dividend payment for new shares.The number of new shares issued for payment of the dividend is 23,901,432 shares, representing 3.2% of current capital of SocGen.

The title was up Altran Technologies (3.01% to 5.51 euros) on the Paris market on Wednesday midday, taking advantage of the positive outlook of analysts following a meeting with the new CEO of technology consulting .

The Tanner (suspended) Qatar Luxury Group has launched a simplified tender offer for the remaining capital of leather goods at the same price of 6.51 euros per share. He already holds 54.73% stake in the Tanner, whose listing is suspended.

Areva (-1.71% to 25.61 euros) The Supervisory Board endorsed the group's arrival Tuesday in place of Luc Oursel Anne Lauvergeon. This should also not give up his severance pay.

"It's been ten years that Sun is planning to separate from the brand but had always hitherto encountered opposition from Chantal Thomass, says Luc Genet, elected at Sun CFDT Our group realized that the Luxury was a world apart from ours and not as profitable as retail.They have not occupied the brand and let it sink. "Turnover Chantal Thomass would be increased from 14 million a decade ago to 8 million last year, with a loss of 2 , 1 million. According to the union, the shareholder of Sun for five years, the U.S. fund Sun Capital Partners, "undressing the bride to return the cash before selling the group."

With Chantelle, Chantal Thomass is a partner of choice Faxless payday loans. It is indeed one of the last French lingerie that has not resigned to suffer the inexorable decline of the sector. Employing 6,200 people for a turnover of 340 million euros, he went all-out on the distribution and brand while keeping both plants in France.Together with its claws Chantelle and Passionata, he developed the brand Darjeeling (126 shops in France) and acquired in 2006 Orcanta group Pinault (56 stores), which are already sold products Chantal Thomass.

Private name

The designer to the eternal dark fringe is about to write a new chapter in the eventful life of its brand. After having sold the Japanese group in 1985 World, she had been dismissed and deprived of her name. Then the company was liquidated in 1996. Chantal Thomass was then able to redeem his name and raise its claw with the Sun group, then in the hands of the U.S. Sara Lee. 42 employees will be included by Chantelle as part of the redemption. The elected Dim worried about the activity of other employees who worked in part for Chantal Thomass, one year after the restructuring, the group also Sun, the Playtex brand.

"This case is bound to tarnish the image of the institution, which, however, by the voice of its director general had managed during and through the crisis, to find a proper place in the regulation of globalization and stand at the heart international monetary system, "said Hassim Mounis, professor at Sciences Politiques in Paris.

"Dominique Strauss-Kahn is a Managing Director of IMF that will be remembered most," says the economist. "It will mark the spirits because he has temporarily disrupted the guidance of the IMF's role by requiring the state to support the economy, which is in total contradiction with the previous liberal policy of the institution," said it.DSK is known to have handled the economic crisis and financial crisis by bringing a Keynesian response … measured, however: in the emblematic case of Greece, the IMF forced the government to drastically reduce public spending and operate a process of privatization.

The IMF is "operational," Greece continues its reforms

Greece precisely, it ensures that the events that challenge the IMF does not change the government program to revive the economy. "The government is pursuing the reforms required by the Fund," said George Petalotis Sunday, his spokesman. DSK would have had to go in Berlin on Sunday and meet Angela Merkel to discuss a possible new aid to Greece, which had gained support in spring 2010 of 110 billion euros, 30 billion from the IMF.This meeting was to take place on the eve of a meeting of the Eurogroup, the Monday night and Tuesday in Brussels, with the main discussions at the agenda of the financial problems that resurface Greece for several days and that plague the markets. It is the deputy general manager of operations, Nemat Shafik, who will attend the Eurogroup meeting.

The IMF meanwhile assured that it remains "fully functional and operational." The Washington-based institution to ensure and maintain its role in the issue of European sovereign debt. "It seems impossible that the case could impact the DSK button timing and responsablités IMF, the stakes are too great," says an economist based in Paris.There was a pre-DSK IMF, there may be an after-DSK.

Who might succeed him at the IMF?

Since Bretton Woods in 1944, which devoted a share of the world between Europe and America, the custom was established to appoint a European to head the IMF and an American to head the Bank World. But in recent years, global economic governance has, too, internationalized: emerging countries like China and Brazil now have a bigger role, like the G7 became the G8 and G20.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, who became the tenth Executive Director of the IMF on 1 November 2007, has himself advocated the continuation of the reform of the institution, and wanted a person from an emerging country for the succeeding fall 2012 . But the events that shook the Fund could also shake up the program.If DSK had to leave the branch, a new early election should take place. The voices, weighted by the amount of quotas, have been reallocated on March 3 after a major reform of the representation of the 187 IMF member countries. The reform has enabled the transfer of 6% of the votes of over-represented countries to benefit from emerging countries. Nevertheless, the IMF is likely to adopt a tougher stance vis-à-vis Europe under the leadership of a new management team.

"DSK is a former economics professor and renowned former Minister of Economy and Finance. He has a real economic role at the operational level to the IMF. In France, too, has played its role, "insists Mounis Hassim, comparing his skills to those of Raymond Barre.Under Jospin, DSK, then Minister of Economy (1997-1999), had participated in the launch of the euro.

ALSO READ:

"A disaster for the IMF

How Strauss-Kahn irritates the Greeks

The IMF considers the debt of Greece "sustainable"